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Derivatives Daily: Bitcoin's $151.4M Liquidation Split on Oct 5

CoinVictor2026-10-05 08:05:44
Derivatives Daily: Bitcoin's $151.4M Liquidation Split on Oct 5

The derivatives market opened Oct. 5 with $151.4M in 24-hour liquidations against $130.95B in global open interest. The imbalance was decisive: $129.8M of positions were shorts, compared with $21.6M of longs. At the same time, Bitcoin was priced at $86,495.67 in the options snapshot, leaving traders to weigh strong institutional demand against a crowded short-side unwind.

Short liquidations dominate the tape

The liquidation structure points to an upside squeeze rather than a broad long flush. Across the 24-hour window, 41,138 liquidation events were recorded, while the rolling totals climbed from $7.5M over one hour to $84.9M over four hours and $115.0M over twelve hours. This acceleration shows that forced positioning became more intense as the session progressed.

Bitcoin accounted for $61.4M of the 24-hour total, including $59.8M in short liquidations. Ethereum followed with $34.2M, of which $33.4M came from shorts. Solana posted $6.0M, PUMP $4.8M and ZEC $4.1M. The largest individual event was an ETHUSDT short liquidation on Binance worth $5.7M, followed by another Binance ETHUSDT short at $3.4M. Binance led venue totals at $61.2M, ahead of OKX at $36.0M.

ETF demand favors Bitcoin over Ethereum

ETF flows provide the clearest cross-market divergence. The latest available Bitcoin ETF session, dated Oct. 1, brought in $102.7M, lifting the seven-day total to $723.3M and cumulative flows to $57.65B. The seven-day sequence was positive on every listed session except Sept. 30, when the flow was -$148.7M. Assets under management reached $109.34B on the latest date.

Ethereum ETF demand weakened at the same time. The latest session recorded a $55.4M outflow, and the seven-day total remained positive at $156.9M only because earlier sessions produced inflows of $104.6M, $66.0M, $86.9M and $17.1M. The latest Ethereum AUM was $17.71B, while cumulative flows stood at $13.87B. This split suggests that Bitcoin remains the preferred institutional hedge while Ethereum is absorbing profit-taking.

Options mark a near-term magnet

Bitcoin options open interest stood at $30.59B across 998 contracts, with a 0.559 put-call ratio by open interest and a 0.9561 ratio by volume. The near-term max pain for Oct. 9 was $84,000, below the $86,495.67 index price. Daily expiries show $85,000 for Oct. 5, $86,500 for Oct. 6, $86,000 for Oct. 7 and $85,500 for Oct. 8. The larger Oct. 9 expiry carries $1.79B in open interest, making $84,000 the key options gravity point for the week.

Sentiment is constructive but not euphoric: the Fear and Greed Index was 65, classified as Greed, on Oct. 4. The altcoin season index was 82 on Oct. 5, with 27 of 33 assets outperforming Bitcoin over the measured window. That breadth supports risk appetite, but it also raises the chance that leverage will migrate from Bitcoin into thinner markets.

Verdict: The tactical bias is cautiously bullish above the $84,000 options max-pain level, with $86,500 the immediate pivot and $130.95B the key global OI reference. A sustained move above $86,500 alongside rising OI would invalidate the squeeze-and-consolidation view and signal a broader continuation; a break below $84,000 while OI remains elevated would instead favor another liquidation wave. Data as of 08:05 Beijing time on Oct 5, covering Binance, OKX, Bybit and other major venues.