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NEAR Protocol: 73.9 RSI Meets $1.4B OI and 62.7% Longs

CoinVictor2026-09-30 03:05:53
NEAR Protocol: 73.9 RSI Meets $1.4B OI and 62.7% Longs

NEAR Protocol has pushed to $5.135 after a 5.4% gain, but the derivatives tape is beginning to look overheated: its 1-day RSI is 73.9, total open interest is about $1.40B, and long accounts make up 62.7% of the market. The setup is not an automatic sell signal, yet the combination of elevated momentum, concentrated long positioning, and uneven liquidation flow leaves NEAR vulnerable to a sharper shakeout.

News context has also focused attention on NEAR Intents after the project said it blocked suspicious swaps connected with an exploit-related laundering attempt.

OI is rising, but not everywhere

The open interest distribution shows a large base with mixed short-term behavior. Binance holds $260.8M, or 18.6% of tracked OI, after a 1.7% 24-hour increase; Gate follows with $212.5M and a 15.2% share after an 11.3% jump. Bybit contributes $193.8M, or 13.8%, but its OI fell 1.8% over 24 hours. Bitget carries $75.4M, representing 5.4%, while growing 3.0%.

The contrast becomes clearer over the shorter window. Binance OI declined 1.6% over four hours and OKX fell 3.7%, even as Gate rose 1.9% and Bybit added 1.1%. Across the market, total OI increased only 0.3% in 24 hours, while the ticker feed shows a 5.8% one-hour increase. That divergence suggests leverage is being rebuilt selectively rather than through a uniformly aggressive chase.

Funding is positive, but fragmented

The funding rate picture supports the overbought warning without showing a single-market extreme. Binance, Bybit, Bitget, and several other venues are charging 0.010% per eight-hour period. OKX is lower at 0.007%, Gate is only 0.001%, and Coinbase is 0.004%. Lighter is the outlier on the positive side at 0.051%, while CoinEx is deeply negative at -0.079% and EdgeX is -0.005%.

That spread matters. The aggregate funding average is 0.00465% per eight hours, while the annualized basis is -14.4%. In other words, some venues are pricing crowded longs, but the broader futures curve is not confirming a clean, market-wide bullish premium. A trader reading only the positive rates could underestimate the amount of cross-venue disagreement.

Liquidations warn of a long-side reset

The liquidation windows have rotated sharply. In the latest hour, short liquidations reached $532.4K against just $22.7K of longs, consistent with the upward move. Over four hours, however, long liquidations rose to $847.1K versus $519.4K of shorts. The twelve-hour window was closer to balanced, with $1.0M of longs and $1.4M of shorts liquidated.

The decisive damage appears in the full-day view: $11.1M of long positions were liquidated versus $1.7M of shorts, for $12.8M in total. The largest reported long liquidation was valued at $1.7M around $4.70360918, with additional large long closures near $4.72213302, $4.66530365, $4.69284690, and $4.77485391. This creates a visible downside liquidation zone beneath the current price.

Positioning is also split between accounts and active flow. Account data shows 60.7% longs on Binance, 62.6% on Bybit, 70.5% on Bitget, and 57.7% on Gate. Yet taker flow is short-led on Binance, with 48.9% longs, and on OKX, with 46.8% longs. Gate takers remain long at 58.7%. The overall account-versus-taker divergence says many holders are still bullish, while some aggressive traders are already selling into strength.

Verdict: NEAR remains constructive above $4.70360918, but the preferred near-term view is overbought and vulnerable while price is near $5.135, 1-day RSI is 73.9, and OI is near $1.40B. A break toward the $4.70360918 liquidation cluster would confirm a leverage reset; this view is invalidated if price holds above $5.135 while OI expands beyond $1.40B and taker flow turns decisively long across the major venues. Data as of 03:05 Beijing time on Sep 30, covering Binance, OKX, Bybit and other major venues.