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Solana at $110.07: Negative Basis, 0.010% Funding and Falling OI

CoinVictor2026-09-20 06:06:04
Solana at $110.07: Negative Basis, 0.010% Funding and Falling OI

Solana is trading at $110.07 with a -2.7% 24-hour move, but the more important derivatives signal is not a bullish contango. The contract basis is -2.7%, equivalent to a -9.9% annualized basis, while total open interest is $4.9B after falling 2.8% over 24 hours. That combination says leverage is being removed while futures remain below spot, a structure closer to defensive positioning than aggressive upside speculation.

Recent market coverage has centered on SOL's recovery narrative, competition with Ethereum, and a constructive ETF-flow backdrop.

Concentration is falling, not expanding

The largest venue exposures show broad deleveraging. Binance holds $927.2M of SOL open interest, or 18.9% of the tracked total, after a 3.8% daily decline. Gate carries $812.3M and 16.6% share, down 4.3%, while Bybit holds $742.9M and 15.2% share, also down 3.9%. Bitget adds $468.1M, or 9.6%, after a 2.8% decline. Together, these four venues represent the dominant visible cluster, yet each has lost open interest over the day.

The shorter window is less uniform. Binance added 1.3% over four hours and Bitget was almost unchanged, up 0.1%, while OKX fell 3.3% over the same period. This suggests some positions are being rebuilt selectively, but not enough to reverse the wider contraction. A negative basis alongside falling open interest therefore weakens the case that buyers are confidently financing a new trend.

Funding stays positive while the basis stays negative

The current funding rate map is notably uniform at major venues: Binance, OKX, Bybit, Bitget and Gate each show 0.010%. Several other venues are also at 0.010%, while Coinbase is at 0.001%, Kraken at 0.000%, and Hyperliquid and Backpack at 0.001%. CoinEx is the clear negative outlier at -0.012%.

Positive funding normally means longs are paying shorts, but here it does not come with a positive futures basis. The mismatch matters: account holders remain positioned for upside, yet the futures curve is still discounted. If the discount persists while funding remains positive, long holders are paying to maintain exposure in a market that has not regained forward premium. That is a poor basis trade for leveraged longs and leaves the position vulnerable to another flush.

Liquidations and positioning reveal the pressure point

The liquidation profile is heavily skewed toward longs. In the latest hour, long liquidations reached $1.5M versus $14.8K for shorts. Over four hours, the split was $2.9M versus $73.2K; over twelve hours, $3.3M versus $452.1K. Across twenty-four hours, longs lost $7.2M and shorts $2.6M, for a total of $9.8M. The largest recorded liquidation was a $1.1M long at $111.80 on OKX, followed by $557.7K at $111.54 and $554.4K at $110.88.

Positioning confirms the asymmetry. The aggregate account reading is 63.6% long, while the taker reading is only 39.8% long. On individual venues, Bybit accounts are 67.5% long and Bitget accounts 73.6% long, but Binance takers are 37.4% long and Gate takers only 31.5% long. In other words, passive account positioning remains long-heavy while active traders are selling or opening shorts. That is a direct divergence between what traders hold and what they are doing now.

Verdict: SOL's near-term derivatives structure is bearish-to-fragile: the key pivot is $110.07, with $111.80 acting as the first stress level after the largest long liquidation and $113.97 as the upper liquidation reference. The view is invalidated if SOL reclaims $113.97 while total open interest rebuilds above $4.9B, signaling demand is returning rather than leverage merely rotating. Data as of 06:05 Beijing time on Sep 20, covering Binance, OKX, Bybit and other major venues.