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XRP Slides 6.7% as $38.8M Long Liquidations Expose Downside

CoinVictor2026-10-09 02:06:19
XRP Slides 6.7% as $38.8M Long Liquidations Expose Downside

XRP is trading at $1.3257 after a 6.7% slide, with $38.8M in 24-hour derivatives liquidations and open interest down 11.7% to $2.05B. The stress is distinctly long-sided: $37.8M of liquidations hit longs, against only $0.9M for shorts. That combination points to forced deleveraging rather than a balanced repositioning, while the 1-hour and 4-hour RSI readings of 19.0 and 16.0 show that the decline has already reached deeply oversold territory.

Recent market commentary has focused on possible bearish XRP levels, accelerating payment activity, large exchange outflows and the broader pressure from higher Treasury yields, but the derivatives tape currently provides the clearest evidence of immediate positioning stress.

Open interest is being flushed unevenly

Total tracked open interest stands at $2.05B, down 11.7% over 24 hours. Binance holds the largest reported share at 19.5%, or $400.1M, after a 12.2% daily decline. Gate carries 13.5%, or $276.7M, but suffered the sharpest contraction among the leading venues at 16.4%. Bybit represents 12.8% with $261.5M, down 13.3%, while Bitget holds 12.9% and $264.7M. Bitget is the outlier on the daily view, with open interest up 7.5%, although its 4-hour change is still negative at 2.0%.

The shorter window suggests the flush is not finished uniformly. Gate open interest fell 17.6% over 4 hours, OKX dropped 13.0%, and Binance declined 10.4%. By contrast, Bitget’s 4-hour reduction was only 2.0%. This divergence matters: if XRP stabilizes, Bitget’s retained exposure could support a rebound; if price continues lower, that remaining leverage may become a fresh liquidation source.

Liquidations show a one-way squeeze

The liquidation structure is heavily skewed toward long holders in every measured window. During the last hour, $6.6M of positions were liquidated, including $6.6M in longs and only $0.0M in shorts. The 4-hour tally reached $30.3M, with $29.8M from longs. Over 12 hours, long liquidations rose to $32.0M of a $32.8M total, and the 24-hour count reached $37.8M of $38.8M.

The largest recorded event was an OKX long liquidation at $1.3583 worth $1.2M, followed by another OKX event at $1.3462 worth $0.7M. Binance also recorded a $0.7M long liquidation at $1.3045. These prints place meaningful forced-selling markers both above and below the current price. A move back toward $1.3462-$1.3583 would test whether trapped longs can exit without adding supply; a break toward $1.3045 would signal that lower liquidation pockets remain active.

Account longs disagree with active takers

Positioning is crowded on the account side. The aggregate account long share is 76.5%, while the taker split is nearly balanced at 49.6% long. On Binance, 72.5% of accounts are long, but takers are 44.6% long; on OKX, account longs reach 75.8% while takers are only 42.2% long. Bybit shows the most pronounced account imbalance at 80.3% long, although its taker data is not reported in the available snapshot.

That gap says passive account positioning remains bullish, but recent aggressive execution is more defensive or short-biased. Funding reinforces the split: Binance, OKX and Bybit are negative at -0.0%, while Bitget is positive at 0.0%. XRP’s annualized basis is also negative at -16.5%, consistent with a market paying less for forward exposure after the drawdown rather than carrying a strong bullish premium.

Verdict: The immediate bias remains bearish while XRP stays below the $1.3462-$1.3583 liquidation band and open interest remains near or below $2.05B. A break of $1.3045 would favor another long-liquidation leg; the view is invalidated only by a sustained recovery above $1.3583 accompanied by renewed open interest growth, not merely a short-lived price bounce. Data as of 02:05 Beijing time on Oct 9, covering Binance, OKX, Bybit and other major venues.