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XRP Open Interest Hits $2.14B as Long Bias Meets Uneven Funding

CoinVictor2026-10-10 01:05:27
XRP Open Interest Hits $2.14B as Long Bias Meets Uneven Funding

XRP is trading at $1.3835 after a 3.2% daily rise, but the derivatives structure is less comfortably bullish than the price suggests. Aggregate open interest has reached $2.14B, up 3.0% in 24 hours, while trading volume has fallen 31.9%. That combination points to leverage being retained as activity cools, a setup that can amplify the next directional move rather than confirm a clean trend.

Recent coverage points to stronger exchange retail activity and continuing XRPL institutional tooling, but neither changes the immediate leverage picture.

OI growth is concentrated outside Binance

The exchange split shows a meaningful shift in where risk is being added. Binance holds $409.8M, or 19.1% of total OI, but its position declined 0.3% over 24 hours and 0.6% over four hours. OKX is smaller at $92.0M, or 4.3%, and also declined 0.5% daily and 2.3% over four hours.

By contrast, Bybit carries $273.7M, or 12.8%, after a 2.5% daily increase, while Bitget holds $275.3M, or 12.8%, after rising 2.1%. Gate has the largest positive concentration among the listed venues at $288.5M, or 13.5%, up 1.5% in 24 hours. The divergence matters: total OI is expanding, but the largest increases are not coming uniformly from the deepest venues. Over four hours, Bybit still added 0.6%, while Bitget shed 1.9% and Binance shed 0.6%, suggesting the build is already rotating rather than broadening.

Funding is positive overall, but not synchronized

The average funding rate is 0.0025%, a mild payment from longs to shorts, yet venue-level rates are widely dispersed. Bitunix is at 0.0108%, Bitget and Bitmex are each at 0.0100%, and KuCoin is at 0.0097%. Binance is at 0.0056%, while Gate is at 0.0055% and OKX at 0.0039%.

That positive cluster contrasts with Bybit at -0.0082%, Backpack at -0.0009%, and Lighter at -0.0232%. The spread indicates that the long bias is not being expressed through one uniform carry trade. Traders long on high-positive-funding venues face a more expensive position, while negative funding on Bybit shows that directional demand and positioning are not aligned across the market. The basis is also deeply negative at -0.0721%, with an annualized basis of -26.3%, reinforcing the view that the futures curve is not pricing a broad, confident upside continuation.

Liquidation tape favors a downside squeeze

The account long/short ratio is heavily skewed long: Binance accounts are 71.2% long, OKX 74.8%, Bybit 79.1%, Bitget 84.3%, and Gate 66.9%. The aggregate account reading is 75.3% long. Active takers are less one-sided, however: Binance takers are 44.3% long, meaning 55.7% short, while OKX is 57.9% long. Gate is the outlier at 93.2% long. This account-versus-taker split suggests many traders are holding long exposure, even as some immediate flow is willing to sell into strength.

The liquidation record confirms that vulnerability. In 24 hours, long liquidations reached $7.8M versus $1.4M for shorts, for a $9.2M total. The imbalance was even sharper over four hours, with $737.2K in long liquidations against $76.2K in shorts. The largest recorded long liquidation was $652.3K at $1.3045 on Binance, followed by $270.6K at $1.3182 and $258.4K at $1.3117. These levels form a visible downside stress band below the current price.

Verdict: XRP has a fragile bullish price structure: OI is expanding toward $2.14B, but long accounts dominate while funding, basis, and taker flow remain fragmented. The key downside test is the $1.3045 liquidation level; a break toward that zone while OI holds near $2.14B would favor another long flush. This view is invalidated if price sustains above $1.3835 while OI continues rising from $2.14B and taker positioning stops showing meaningful short pressure. Data as of 01:05 Beijing time on Oct 10, covering Binance, OKX, Bybit and other major venues.